CME ScoreBoard Header

CME Scoreboard

CME Scoreboard: Prediction Detail

Prediction for CME (2014-12-19T00:27:00-CME-001)

CME Observed Time: 2014-12-19T00:27Z
iSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/7413/-1
CME Note: assocaited with M6.9 flare with peak time2014-12-18T21:41Z. Shock arrival time verification still pending.
CME Shock Arrival Time: 2014-12-21T18:22Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
Max Kp: 5.0

Predicted Arrival Time: 2014-12-21T07:00Z
Prediction Method: WSA-ENLIL + Cone (KSWC)
Prediction Method Note:

KSWC ENLIL settings:
ENLIL version: 2.7e
Resolution: low (256x30x90)
Ambient settings: a5b1
WSA version: 2.2



CME input parameters
Time at 
21.5Rs boundary:
20141219T0655
Radial velocity (km/s): 1105

Longitude (deg): -22

Latitude (deg): -10

Half-angular width (deg):
46 

Notes:

Lead Time: 17.88 hour(s)
Difference: 11.37 hour(s)
Prediction submitted by RWC Jeju (KSWC) on 2014-12-21T00:29Z

CME Scoreboard Footer

CCMC Rules of the Road: CCMC requests that users notify the CCMC, CME model/technique developers and submitting forecasters/researchers before performing event and validation studies with data from the CME Arrival Time Scoreboard. It is recommended that such studies be performed with the knowledge and collaboration of developers and submitting forecasters/researchers.

If you are looking for the official U.S. Government forecast for space weather, please go to NOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center (https://swpc.noaa.gov). This "Experimental Research Information" consists of preliminary NASA research products and should be interpreted and used accordingly.

Curator: Chiu Wiegand | NASA Official: Dr. Masha Kuznetsova | Privacy and Security Notices | Accessibility | CCMC Data Policy